Intermediate Topic 21 of 51 Math for Computing
Binomial and Poisson Distributions
Models for counts of successes and rare events.
How it works
The binomial distribution counts the number of successes in n independent trials, each with success probability p, with probability C(n,k) p to the k times (1-p) to the n-k, mean np and variance np(1-p). The Poisson distribution models the number of events occurring in a fixed interval when events happen independently at a constant average rate lambda, with probability e to the minus lambda times lambda to the k over k factorial, and mean and variance both equal to lambda. Poisson approximates the binomial when n is large and p is small.
Where it is used
Binomial models appear in quality control, A/B test conversions and coin flips; Poisson models arrivals of requests, defects, calls, radioactive decays and rare-event counts in systems.
Common pitfall
Trials must be independent with constant probability; real events often cluster, giving overdispersion where variance exceeds the mean, so negative binomial may fit better. Large n makes direct factorial calculation overflow. Normal approximations need sufficient counts. Check assumptions before applying.
Where it fits in the course
Binomial and Poisson Distributions is topic 21 of 51 in Math for Computing, rated Intermediate. It follows Normal Distribution. The next topic is Law of Large Numbers.
Practice and explore
- Open the interactive lesson, with a mini quiz.
- Take the Math for Computing quiz.
How to study this topic
- Read the explanation above and restate the definition in your own words.
- Open the interactive lesson and answer its mini quiz.
- Read the common pitfall, then write a short example that avoids it.
- Check your understanding in the Math for Computing quiz, and revisit the topic if you miss a question.
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Related topics
- Normal Distribution (Math for Computing)
- Law of Large Numbers (Math for Computing)
- Probability Distributions (Math for Computing)
- Central Limit Theorem (Math for Computing)